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Fortune 40: Best Stocks to Retire On

by Paul R. La Monica and Katie Benner
Thursday, June 12, 2008
provided by

Welcome to the age of anxiety. Over the past year, fear, betrayal, and confusion have roiled investor confidence, leaving stomachs queasy and unsettled. Every day, it seems, some giant bank or Wall Street titan discovers a few billion dollars more in troubled assets it didn't realize it owned and now has to write down. Whether it's been the immolation of Bear Stearns, the descent of home prices, or the credit freeze - we're not even going to talk about skyrocketing prices for food and energy - the news has been wrenching.

With all that turmoil, perhaps it's surprising, then, that the major stock indexes haven't sustained more calamitous declines. Sure, they've all slipped 10% or so from their heady peaks in 2007, when credit was free, mega-mergers abounded, and every flower bloomed. (At least that's how it seemed.) A 10% drop certainly qualifies as a lousy run, but it's a far cry from the 20% fall widely viewed as the definition of a bear market. Indeed, it's precisely the fact that shares haven't fallen further that worries some investors. With the economy skidding, doesn't more trouble loom for stocks?

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Fortune 40: Turning Savings Into Income

That's where the Fortune 40 comes in. We created our flagship retirement portfolio in 2002 with the goal of gathering a rock-solid, diversified group of stocks that could thrive in good times and hold steady in bad. Most of all, the portfolio is designed to be maintained over the long term. Given that philosophy, we don't quake when markets are troubled for shorter periods. Heck, there may even be a buying opportunity or two available.

All things considered, the portfolio performed relatively well in the past year, declining 2.3%. That figure isn't normally something to crow about, but it easily beat the S&P's 8.0% loss during the same time. Our longer-term results are even better. Since its establishment in 2002, the Fortune 40 has generated an average annual return of 15%, besting the S&P's 11%.

Among our stars last year were international picks, which rose a collective 12.9%, and (surprise, surprise) energy selections. Brazilian oil producer Petrobras (PZE), which fit both categories, soared above the others with a 163% leap. The dogs were led (also no shock) by the financial stocks. Swiss bank UBS (UBS), for example, cratered 60% under the weight of bad subprime loans and too much risk taking.

Despite the occasional clunker, we still strongly believe in our methodologies, so we're sticking with them. Once again we've divided the collection into five mini-portfolios, each of which is modeled after the stock-picking strategies of the investing world's brightest minds: Jeremy Siegel, Peter Lynch, Benjamin Graham, Chuck Royce, and John Templeton. (Siegel is the only one who has blessed our use of his methodology, though he offers no view on our individual stocks.) We apply a series of screens based on each investor's philosophies and then refine the selections by interviewing top fund managers and grilling analysts.

Of course, even a long-term view requires flexibility and periodic pruning. So this year we're replacing 17 stocks that no longer pass our tests (including some, like Petrobras, that we wouldn't buy now because their success has made them pricey). Among the new crop: BP (BP), US Bancorp (USB), and some promising stocks you've probably never heard of.

Click here for more details on some of the new entrants in each category (the specific screening methodologies are explained in the footnotes to the tables), as well as for data on each company.

The tables below list all 40.

Growth and Income

Company Name Price 52-Wk Range P/E Market Cap Yield
ABT Abbott Laboratories 53.64 61.09 -
49.58
21.80 82,782,397,440 2.68%
CL Colgate Palmolive Co 74.02 81.98 -
63.75
23.35 37,588,022,180 2.16%
GIS General Mills, Inc 62.62 63.91 -
51.00
16.39 20,979,954,320 2.56%
ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc 49.32 60.00 -
45.02
15.56 25,783,608,240 2.27%
JNJ Johnson & Johnson 65.44 68.85 -
59.72
16.32 184,422,484,480 2.81%
KO The Coca-Cola Company 57.33 65.59 -
51.06
21.47 133,166,467,980 2.65%
PG The Procter & Gamble Company 66.51 75.18 -
60.76
19.62 203,054,032,350 2.41%
USB US Bancorp Del 30.50 35.25 -
27.86
12.60 53,087,263,000 5.57%
Jun 11 2:02pm ET †

Bargain Growth

Company Name Price 52-Wk Range P/E Market Cap Yield
ACN Accenture Ltd. 38.83 44.03 -
31.91
17.03 30,270,664,270 1.08%
CB The Chubb Corporation 52.84 55.92 -
45.65
7.47 19,312,385,920 2.50%
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc 25.56 34.24 -
21.77
19.97 150,986,396,160 0.00%
MCK McKesson Corporation 55.54 68.43 -
51.08
16.73 15,400,075,660 0.86%
MMM 3M Co 75.77 97.00 -
72.05
14.77 53,363,901,760 2.64%
MSFT Microsoft Corporation 27.36 37.50 -
26.87
15.91 254,810,765,151 1.61%
PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation 75.76 86.91 -
58.10
14.38 12,707,300,560 1.11%
WAG Walgreen Co. 35.58 48.09 -
32.50
16.86 35,240,460,060 1.07%
Jun 11 2:02pm ET †

Deep Value

Company Name Price 52-Wk Range P/E Market Cap Yield
AIT Applied Indl Technologies In 27.04 35.68 -
22.05
12.40 1,143,683,840 2.22%
CAE Cascade Corp 45.68 89.87 -
39.70
11.54 494,531,680 1.75%
CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated 30.85 51.57 -
28.79
16.77 1,882,436,150 1.88%
NPK National Presto Industries, Inc 65.82 67.13 -
46.00
11.29 450,537,900 6.46%
PFE Pfizer Inc 17.64 26.67 -
17.71
15.75 119,338,075,080 7.26%
RBC Regal-Beloit Corporation 46.30 59.00 -
32.95
12.65 1,489,285,800 1.38%
UST UST Inc 55.30 59.95 -
47.40
15.94 8,175,386,100 4.56%
VFC VF Corporation 70.02 96.20 -
63.68
12.57 7,641,352,620 3.31%
Jun 11 2:02pm ET †

Small Wonders

Company Name Price 52-Wk Range P/E Market Cap Yield
ADTN ADTRAN, Inc 23.76 28.72 -
17.17
21.21 1,525,296,960 1.52%
AVX AVX Corporation 12.80 18.40 -
11.74
14.71 2,189,785,600 1.25%
FIC Fair Isaac Corporation 22.84 40.71 -
20.70
13.51 1,110,549,320 0.35%
GLBL Global Industries Ltd 17.16 29.14 -
15.30
15.19 1,978,324,920 0.00%
GW Grey Wolf Inc 9.41 9.24 -
4.85
14.04 1,682,884,400 0.00%
PLXS Plexus Corp 28.67 32.47 -
17.78
14.85 1,215,636,670 0.00%
PVR Penn Va Resources Partners L 27.89 32.90 -
18.00
23.05 1,418,373,840 6.45%
TSRA Tessera Technologies Inc 18.27 45.15 -
11.11
24.36 883,482,390 0.00%
Jun 11 2:07pm ET †

Foreign Value

Company Name Price 52-Wk Range P/E Market Cap Yield
DEO Diageo P L C 76.75 93.12 -
73.39
0.00 48,889,634,875 2.73%
NVS Novartis A G 50.61 59.17 -
46.19
18.01 133,794,024,392 0.00%
PHG Philips Electronics N.V. 36.27 45.90 -
34.91
5.88 37,948,067,820 2.56%
SNY Sanofi Aventis 33.50 49.04 -
33.39
0.00 88,086,307,000 0.00%
TOT Total S A 83.45 91.34 -
67.11
0.00 200,313,546,900 3.17%
UL Unilever Plc 30.73 38.25 -
28.95
0.00 39,891,073,950 0.00%
VOD Vodafone Group Plc New 29.66 40.87 -
29.13
0.00 157,592,893,240 0.00%
Jun 11 2:02pm ET †

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